Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032734 0.035892 0.039100 0.042595 0.046290 0.050073 0.054233
2025-08-17 0.026989 0.031522 0.036309 0.041716 0.047626 0.053868 0.060932
2025-08-24 0.022732 0.028166 0.034114 0.041048 0.048849 0.057299 0.067090
2025-08-31 0.020490 0.026733 0.033778 0.042209 0.051918 0.062648 0.075303
2025-09-07 0.018497 0.025339 0.033283 0.043019 0.054461 0.067327 0.082736
2025-09-14 0.016694 0.023970 0.032650 0.043523 0.056540 0.071405 0.089444
2025-09-21 0.014986 0.022546 0.031805 0.043648 0.058073 0.074781 0.095301
2025-09-28 0.014040 0.021986 0.031939 0.044892 0.060892 0.079635 0.102875
2025-10-05 0.012415 0.020396 0.030660 0.044286 0.061389 0.081678 0.107100
2025-10-12 0.011261 0.019339 0.029978 0.044354 0.062651 0.084594 0.112335
2025-10-19 0.010435 0.018662 0.029734 0.044932 0.064510 0.088211 0.118404
2025-10-26 0.009848 0.018274 0.029835 0.045927 0.066876 0.092442 0.125223
2025-11-02 0.008349 0.016448 0.027912 0.044216 0.065787 0.092436 0.126944
2025-11-09 0.007411 0.015387 0.026982 0.043774 0.066290 0.094386 0.131055
2025-11-16 0.006561 0.014386 0.026074 0.043311 0.066726 0.096228 0.135026
2025-11-23 0.006284 0.014289 0.026464 0.044628 0.069511 0.101054 0.142734
2025-11-30 0.005918 0.014011 0.026562 0.045525 0.071734 0.105172 0.149577
2025-12-07 0.005496 0.013599 0.026430 0.046076 0.073484 0.108685 0.155673
2025-12-14 0.005015 0.013034 0.026032 0.046220 0.074665 0.111459 0.160841
2025-12-21 0.004830 0.012992 0.026435 0.047519 0.077424 0.116289 0.168637
2025-12-28 0.004254 0.012160 0.025546 0.046894 0.077517 0.117630 0.171984
2026-01-04 0.003868 0.011653 0.025147 0.046966 0.078554 0.120198 0.176900
2026-01-11 0.003613 0.011380 0.025111 0.047567 0.080321 0.123727 0.183056